3 Predictions plus a four-cast: European Vandalism, Treasury Piratism, Cersei’s Death, and Eastern Goldbacked Elasticity

Ahead of the equinox I wanted to float some far fetched futurecasts, laden with bombast. The first two are predictions for western/eastern civilization, while the last one is a prediction for Westeros/Essos of Game of Thrones (spoilers if you haven’t seen through season 5). These three can be thought of as an appendage to my 2016 predictions. [edit: on 2016-05-02, I am adding a fourth prediction regarding the reintroduction of the gold standard by Eastern nations]

1) There is a high probability that next winter European temperatures will be far below average (they are due in the context of this new deregulated climatic cycle, if not next winter than the following), and whatever the normal human systems existing to remedy such cold contingencies, efforts are sure to fall grievously short of meeting the needs of the increased population. Population is, of course, the number one factor leading European events towards a 2017 winter culmination that will be reminiscent of 406AD in the Roman Empire. The cultural conflicts already existing will be greatly exacerbated when the long night(s) come, and don’t expect either side to simply acquiesce to the needs of the others. History shows that people do not typically just lay down and die (though they do lay down and stop living, evidenced by contemporary consumerist trends). Expect all the foresight that was mocked as ad absurdum speculation to be made viscerally real, a new and twisted self-directed jingoism becoming governmental policy. If the Arab populations moving in (or being intentionally herded) to Europe are as vulgar and criminally apt as they are purported to be—a great prison unloading—there is no telling what the series of reaction-reaction-reaction-reaction will spiral in to. Certainly every ideologue—and Europe has been home to plenty—will try to spin the situation to their own benefit, and to “the other’s” detriment; a demagogue such as Trump would really be in his element when all this shit goes down (but clogs the swelling toilet on its way). My own spin to it has to be ironic: karma is the boomerang you eventually forgot you threw. Imperialism eventually cycles back.

2) While the Donald is on the mind, the next prediction may involve Trump as a spokesperson, but it could be any collection of oligarchs and minions that generally adhere to the Oceania-neocon agenda. There is no specific time frame on this—the timing will depend entirely on the elite/governmental perception of a critical point in which to unveil yet another stopgap measure to constipate a full blown financial collapse. I feel the need to build the context before unveiling the details of this prediction:

The recent trend of investors hunkering in to treasury bonds, specifically United States treasuries, is going to be fully exploited by the always-Machiavellian banker/governmental elites that have access to the financial policy levers. All this foreign wealth still flowing (and even accelerating during market cascades) in to the endemically-corrupt-treaty-breaking nation of the United States really shows a great deal of denial and/or ignorance-driven trust of people/countries towards the bereft banker cartel. It’s true that many countries have not been so reckless as to buy in to American debt, but they will still feel the pinch nonetheless. The economic will become political in its highest expressions, for this is 2016 and the eight year cycle of the changing of the guard in America is to have widespread entwinings.

Before election, after election, after inauguration… at some point, a political person and/or party, being heralded as the ultimate patriots, will unleash a formal policy that disallows the investors of the world from redeeming their treasuries. To my knowledge such an act is unprecedented, and it could only realistically be done by a government that presides over the global reserve currency and holds the “kingbreaker” cards in its military as well. Expect presages and all sorts of domestic propaganda—before, during and after—to corroborate with this move, even a lame educational outreach to reassure the financially literate people of the legitimacy of the government to act in such a way to secure national interests. Of the propaganda efforts, the leader will address the American people with something akin to this:

“The American nation is exceptional because of our greatness. It is because of that greatness that we have long been a target by others: I’m not just referring to our known enemies, but by all who harbor jealousy and have a penchant towards being leeches. The rest of the world has been riding our good times up, but now they are bailing out on us, trying to take us for all we are worth. In stockmarket terms, they are all trying to short us. We are not a nation that allows ourselves to be sold down the river. They have confused our kindness with weakness. It is they who are acting weak, and we cannot allow such weak peoples to one second use our juggernaut economy for their own purposes, and the next try and throw it away. We cannot allow that… and it is not just for our country’s own good, but for theirs. Though the world may not realize it, as they attempt to rob us, they need us a lot more than we need them. We allow their goods to be sold in our country. Where would the world be without American ingenuity? We gift the world our cutting edge technologies at a fair price, enabling many countries to effectively emerge from poverty. We build highways both literal and figurative, networks that allow trade to effortlessly move throughout the globalized world. Until this act, we have always allowed and encouraged the free flow of money between individuals and nations. But for myself, as your president, I will not let our ship be threatened by the boats trying to sink us. This is my highest charge, and on my watch I will not allow the rapid redeeming of treasury bonds by countries trying to cash in on our first class economy. It is wrong, and it has to be stopped.”

Such is a taste of what tactics will be used to pirate the money that was invested in the dollar. Why wouldn’t “they” do it? The oligarchs know they can get away with it because of their kingbreaker position (that threatens China and Russia from gaining full hegemony). As for the morality of such a potential action, or if it is in any way reprehensible, I’d like to export a modified Bushism to the world: “fooled by us twice [or a hundred times], shame on you!”

A political cartoon condemning the action would picture the president and have the caption:

“Ha, ask for a debt jubilee? Let’s just give ourselves one!”

3) I glimpsed a possible pattern in the “GoT Season 6 Official Poster” that, if true, reveals Cersei to be dead by the time the season is over. Please consult the poster (below) to better understand the following written pattern. The pattern for the six characters represented in the Hall of Faces characters starts from the upper left, then moves “south–south-eastward” by a 1:2:2:1 rhythm and symmetry. In the upper left is Jon Snow, Game of Thrones Season 6 Predictionwho by being brought back from the dead could be considered “twice-alive”; the two after that—Daenerys and Sansa—are both once alive, having been saved, narrowly escaping death; the two after that—Oberyn and Robb—are once dead, killed by complete surprise. The last face—Cersei’s—has to be twice dead, to complete the pattern. How can someone be twice dead? Suicide—the killing of that which was already dead. Her storyline heretofore would support her attempting a suicide. She has already been publicly shamed, she has lost her son and will find out she’s lost her daughter, and not to mention she was ready to kill her third child before he could be captured (Battle of the Blackwater). In the Hall of Faces poster, she is also looking down which I think goes to signify many things, including her downfall and suicide.

[May 2, 2016 edit-in:]

4) Jim Willie and Andrew Gause are two economically-minded thinkers (not sycophantic bullshitters) who expect to see precious metals skyrocket in value as people and nations around the world reject insolvent and corruptible fiat currencies along with their corresponding bonds and treasuries. The former (Willie) predicts a China-centered reintroduction of the gold standard, while the latter (Gause) thinks such a move on the part of China would be impractical because of the inelasticity that would hamper their global economic conquest. While their two thoughts on the matter may seem mutually exclusive, I predict China to maneuver a middle ground that will only be visible to one with a diachronic eye.

The ever patient eastern dragon—not to be confused with a Targaryen—is very well organized and able to act with great subtlety, orders of magnitude more minute than the blundering western nations. They will reintroduce a precious metals backed currency over time, either as a singular nation or conglomerated with other tight trade-partners. With gold set to rise many fold, they will choose a ripe time when gold’s new legitimacy is unquestioned and that they have also accumulated enough during the years of relative suppression. The new Shanghai Gold Exchange and fix, itself a viable entity to restore realistic physical gold trading, is also serving as a stratagem to display China’s trustworthyness to global investors seeking a safe harbor: it is a lead up to their offering a currency that will have everyone flocking to their gates. So far things look to be very much in align with Willie’s predictions…

When China does hit times of inelasticity, as Gause thinks they would were they to back their currency with gold, China will employ their option: release yet more gold to back their currency needs. Their initial backing will be large and substantial, but it will be in part a feign and a trial balloon. The key is that China will not back their currency with all their gold all at once; they will keep a large quantity (in the tens of thousands of tons) waiting in reserve. They will do it in stages as necessary, winning enthusiasm each step of the way, diluting/concentrating as needed, and thwarting all the major problems that western economists delineate a goldbacked currency would bring. Their employment of a creeping normalization with their currency has other precedents that run parallel, such as their taking on the role of being the largest industrial manufacturer in the world. There should be know doubt that these people know what they are doing.

By the time their capturing of the global reserve currency status (utilizing the gold standard method) is a few years in, not just media punditry but entire cultural systems will be normalized to Chinese economic prowess, and western economic schools of thought will largely be bankrupted, nobody left who can read English will be able to afford to spend their time reading the antiquated and off-based notions of a bygone peculiar age… they will be too busy working for their Chinese bosses! I am no economist, but I think possessing a plurality of the world’s gold will give China and its allies the flexibility to move their pieces forward on the game board of economic conquest.

[minor grammar edit (see comments below) made on 2016-05-12]

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Those Who Have the Gold Will Make the New Rules

With every skyscraper is built a crater. The only problem for the United States is that we have so many skyscrapers to hold our gaze upwards, that we aren’t looking for the many holes right before us and below us. They are quite likely to become our graves, as we have a long fall from our stilts, that are becoming ever thinner as we repurpose wood girth to greedily seek yet new heights. Thanks to Jim Willie for making me aware of how incredibly vulnerable we have made ourselves as our dollar—not backed by gold nor oil, and less and less by an incapable, unwilling military (I am happy about this last point, and sick of knowing that I live in an imperial state)—is going to be revealed as paper. We will no longer be able to trade around our dollar for “cheap premium” (if this is an oxy moron, all the better) imports of everything from natural resources all the way up to highly refined specialized consumer and industrial goods that we have grown used to buying and periodically throwing away. On the brightside, at least our dumps and landfills will get to have a breather.

The new likeliest most common piece of trash to be found at dumps the world over will be the US dollar… probably (The probably is due to the wonderful and frightful analysis of James Corbett on the trend towards a global oligarchy and the IMF’s Special Drawing Rights Currencies that will likely continue to include the dollar, along with adding the Huan). Why will the dollar be trashed? The dollar has given an unfair preeminence to the United States in all matters of foreign exchange and trading. Many players in the game are surely sick of being seconded by the USA having a position of leverage whenever the game isn’t going their way. I thought of an overly simplistic way to explain this in an “International Relations, Nation States as Individual Actors” kind of way:

Imagine there are 4 different players in a game to get the most resources, and each player at the beginning is given money—8 paradimes—and a specialization for exportability. Nation A’s specialization is in Agriculture, Nation B’s specialization is in Smart Phones, Nation C’s specialization is in Energy Crude and Refined, and Nation D’s specialization is that it has a paradime making machine that only requires an input of water. The focal point of this heuristic device is Nation D. They realize the strategic advantage of a paradime making machine, but after a few rounds of trading, as they are only purchasers and have nothing to trade, they make only a few paradimes so that the other players don’t catch on that they have this machine. They are in a sense very responsible with their gift and don’t want to abuse and lose it, and they are just using it, very justly, for survival since they don’t have anything else to offer. However, as time goes on and they see how central paradimes are to the other 3 nations interacting and getting along, they decide to push their advantage and want to be number one—not dependent on the other nations but as the one who is depended upon. They start working the machine over time and buying disproportionately lots of food, oil, and smart phones, and the paths of trade into Nation D become well worn and defined, so that Nation’s A, B, and C all tweak their operations to accommodate to Nation D’s importing habits and they have less and less need or desire to trade with each other beyond basic needs. Eventually, Nation C gets exhausted of its Energy Resources, and Nation A loses its soil nutrients, and they realize that their own domestic needs cannot be met while simultaneously meeting Nation D’s lust for these items. Nation D ups the ante by offering exorbitant amount of paradimes for food and energy, and for a while Nation A and C are willing to tighten their belts because they love paradimes. However, at some point Maslow’s hierarchy of needs kicks in and they really need their food and energy and realize that paradimes are not so important, as they aren’t edible and can’t be burned for fuel, and that they are not very important to them. They become quite annoyed as well when it dawns on them that Nation D has somehow had an unlimited supply of these things and hasn’t contributed anything more than these useless circlets of metal. Their view on paradimes shifts…

There is a Nation ABC summit to the exclusion of Nation D, where the three nations decide that they need some sort of currency to facilitate trading and that food is a fundamental resource that will always be desired and the more of it created does not have the negative effect of inflation, but the positive effect of allowing more eating and/or trading. Nation D does not hold water, so it cannot even trade water for food, and its existence begins to dwindle as the famine and then disease take their course. Such is the rise and fall of a nation that had an unfair advantage, which proved in the long reality to be a grave disadvantage.